SAGE issued a dire warning that the Indian COVID variant could put 10,000 in hospital a day inside months, putting the end of lockdown in danger, and leading experts to back regional vaccine surges.
Government scientists also suggested it could lead to up to a thousand deaths a day by the summer, admitting there’s a real possibility it’s far more transmissible than the Kent strain.
The SPI-M subgroup said it was confident the mutant B.1.617.2 strain was more contagious than the currently dominant variant, and that it could spread 50 per cent more quickly.
It warned that pressing on with easing all lockdown restrictions on June 21, as is currently the plan for England, could soon lead to widespread hospitalisation because there are still too few adults vaccinated to prevent its progress.
Documents released by the group reveal how scientists have considered rolling out a surge of jabs in towns and cities worst affected by the Indian variant, although this was eventually ruled out.
The papers read that if vaccination reduces the likelihood of transmission for this variant, increasing regional vaccination in areas where it’s prevalent could dampen growth in infections, although it takes several weeks for vaccines to provide protection.
The benefits would need to be weighed against the costs of moving vaccines from elsewhere. JCVI continues to evaluate the evidence on different vaccinations strategies.
The bleak models were presented to No 10 after cases of the strain more than doubled in seven days and four people were found to have died from the variant, and the fact it’s spreading quickly when the country is still in lockdown and amongst a highly vaccinated population has sent alarm bells ringing.
England’s chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty told a Downing Street press conference that the variant was expected to become the most aggressive in the United Kingdom.
The Government’s scientists have said they’re confident the strain isn’t more dangerous and that vaccines will work well against it, but they warn the death toll could soar significantly by the fact it’s able to infect more people than previous strains and there are still 30 million unvaccinated Britons.
Surge testing is being deployed in 15 hotspots, mostly in the North West of England, and second vaccine doses are being sped up for over 50s to contain the strain and pre-empt a deadly third wave.
SPI-M scientists advising SAGE this month estimated what a more transmissible strain could do to the country after lockdown is lifted in June and maintained it could trigger up to 20,000 hospital admissions per day in a worst-case situation. January’s peak, which almost paralysed the NHS, was about 3,800 a day in England.
But it also appears that SAGE can be somewhat manipulative and more often than not, wrong – the vaccine either works or it doesn’t, and their computer modelling was, and is flawed, and they’re always prophesying doom, but it’s time to move on, and get on with what’s left of our lives.
According to figures online, India has had 24 million cases and 26,2000 deaths. Yet apparently, the United Kingdom has had 4.4 million cases and 12,8000 deaths.
How can these numbers be correct, if this Indian COVID variant is apparently worse, how come India has had an extra 20 million cases but deaths are only just double? And it just shows the COVID death rate in this country is way off, and too many people have been wrongly classified as a COVID death just because it’s the easiest thing to do.
And it seems that this crisis is not about the virus, and they’re using this crisis across the world in a socialist strategy of subversion to control everyone and to prepare us for their New World Order.
Here we have it, folks, more lockdown coming, and some people will accept it for what it is, but numerous people won’t, and what’s the point of us being vaccinated if they’re still going to keep us tied down with no joy in our lives, and it’s now crystal clear that they won’t take that jackboot off our necks because they’re all drunk on power.
THE MONTHLY MOSQUITO 